Romney Wins Michigan, Race Still Wide Open
Mitt Romney is the winner of Michigan’s Primary, and is currently ahead in the delegate count. While these are positive signs for the Romney campaign, there is no one Republican candidate that is clearly dominating. Huckabee won Iowa, McCain won New Hampshire, and Romney was the victor in Michigan and Wyoming.
This uncertainty may give Fred Thompson an opening in South Carolina. With no clear winner, voters will be more apt to vote for the candidate who most reflects their values rather than the “lesser of two evils” topping the polls. Thompson garnered favorable early support in the state, but lost momentum as other candidates scored early wins. Thompson is surging in the polls in South Carolina, but will it be too little, too late?
Giuliani may also benefit from this uncertainty within the Republican Party. Ordinarily, Rudy’s strategy of sitting out the first wave of primaries would be political suicide, but this year, his plan of targeting delegate-rich states could be a winner. Giuliani is still competitive in Florida, according to polls.
There is a possibility we could end up with a brokered convention, with no one candidate having gained a large enough majority of delegates. There is no telling what kind of strange alliances could be formed in order to reach required delegate totals. This year’s election is shaping up to be quite unconventional … possibly accompanied by even more unconventional convention.
What if the Conventions are Contested?
Brokered Convention - Consider the Possibilities